Resolves Yes if there are significant defections from the Marine to fight against the world government.
Example of what would count as significant defection:
-Fleet Admiral/Sakazuki decided to go against the world government
-Two of the three Admirals decided to go against the world government
-Significant fraction of marines decided to go against order and fight against the world government
Get Ṁ200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Does the US military use covert technology to read the minds of citizens around the world?
12% chance
In 2024, will at least 100 US military personnel be killed by enemy action in the Middle East?
18% chance
Will a Taiwanese, US, Filipino, Japanese or Vietnamese servicemember die confronting the China's military before 2025?
33% chance
Will the Sierra Madre still be inhabited by Filipino Marines in 2026?
68% chance
[Metaculus] Will a US aircraft carrier be destroyed in combat before 2050?
31% chance
Will the Houthis successfully attack a U.S. or allied warship in 2024?
45% chance
Will the Sierra Madre still be inhabited by Filipino Marines in 2030?
45% chance
Will the Sierra Madre still be inhabited by Filipino Marines in 2027?
55% chance
Will a Taiwanese armed forces pilot defect to China with their aircraft before 2030?
29% chance
Will a new major war break out in 2024?
8% chance