Will S&P 500 increase by over 2% on any day in Oct 2024? | Manifold

Will S&P 500 increase by over 2% on any day in Oct 2024?

11

15

Ṁ144

Ṁ150

Nov 1

24%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolution base on Yahoo! Finance Historical Data
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ESPX/history?p=%5ESPX
Resolves YES the market close price of one day is over 2% higher than the previous day market close price

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opened a Ṁ100 YES at 20% order

For the people interested I did a quick data analysis based in last five years(60 months), there are 21 months where at least one day saw more than 2% return. About one in three chance

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