If Trump became the GOP nominee Which states will be won by him in 2024 presidential election? [200M subsidy]

US Politics•Politics•Ammon's bounty market group

182

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Ṁ6.2K

Dec 31

ALL

94%

Alabama

93%

Wyoming

93%

Arkansas

93%

Tennessee

93%

Kentucky

93%

Louisiana

93%

Mississippi

93%

Missouri

93%

Nebraska

93%

North Dakota

93%

South Carolina

93%

Utah

93%

West Virginia

93%

Idaho

93%

South Dakota

93%

Oklahoma

91%

Indiana

91%

Montana

90%

Kansas

90%

Alaska

Resolves Yes if Trump became the GOP nominee and won the state in the 2024 election
Resolves No if Trump became the GOP nominee at any point and did not win the state in the 2024 election
Resolves No if Trump became the GOP nominee at any point and later dropped out from the election for any reason

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3 Comments

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bought Ṁ50 of Wyoming YES

@AmmonLam can you fix the description?

@Joshua thanks for the reminder

bought Ṁ50 of California NO

@AmmonLam By the way, you should know that there are existing markets for this question and your dem one:

New manifold policy for 2024 is to not subsidize exact duplicate questions like this when an older one exists:

Duplicate markets are certainly allowed and I see you added your own subsidy, but just thought you should know in case you hadn't seen that addition to the guidelines.