If Trump became the GOP nominee Which states will be won by him in 2024 presidential election? [200M subsidy]
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31
Ṁ31k
resolved Nov 12
Resolved
YES
Alabama
Resolved
YES
Alaska
Resolved
YES
Arizona
Resolved
YES
Arkansas
Resolved
YES
Florida
Resolved
YES
Georgia
Resolved
YES
Idaho
Resolved
YES
Indiana
Resolved
YES
Iowa
Resolved
YES
Kansas
Resolved
YES
Kentucky
Resolved
YES
Louisiana
Resolved
YES
Michigan
Resolved
YES
Mississippi
Resolved
YES
Missouri
Resolved
YES
Montana
Resolved
YES
Nebraska
Resolved
YES
Nevada
Resolved
YES
North Carolina
Resolved
YES
North Dakota

Resolves Yes if Trump became the GOP nominee and won the state in the 2024 election
Resolves No if Trump became the GOP nominee at any point and did not win the state in the 2024 election
Resolves No if Trump became the GOP nominee at any point and later dropped out from the election for any reason

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@AmmonLam @ManifoldPolitics @mods All of these can resolve.

bought Ṁ50 YES

@AmmonLam Most of these can resolve

@AmmonLam can you fix the description?

@Joshua thanks for the reminder

@AmmonLam By the way, you should know that there are existing markets for this question and your dem one:

New manifold policy for 2024 is to not subsidize exact duplicate questions like this when an older one exists:

Duplicate markets are certainly allowed and I see you added your own subsidy, but just thought you should know in case you hadn't seen that addition to the guidelines.

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