When will we have real money trading on Manifold?
23
1kṀ5094resolved Nov 3
Resolved
N/Ana
Resolved
NOBefore July 2024
Resolved
YESBefore July 2026
Resolved
YESBefore Jan 2027
Resolved
YESBefore Jan 2027
Resolved
YESBefore Jan 2026
Resolved
YESBefore Jan 2025
Resolved
YESBefore July 2025
Resolved
YESIt will happen within 1 year of the Big Pivot
Resolved
NOIt will happen after CFTC approves prediction market on election outcomes
Resolved
NOIt will happen while James Grugett is still the CEO of Manifold
Resolved
NOAfter Jimmy Carter dies
Resolved
NOAfter Joe Biden dies
Resolved
NOAfter Donald Trump dies
Resolved
NOBefore September 2024
If exchanging Mana to USD between users is no longer banned, resolves Yes.
If Mana can be exchanged to USD through Manifold, resolves Yes.
If Mana can be exchanged for gift card/ valuable goods that can be easily exchanged for USD, resolves Yes.
If a currency other than Mana is introduced on Manifold that can be exchange for real money, resolves Yes
[Update: I consider prize points to fit into the category of "valuable goods" that can be easily exchanged for USD, so this market will resolve Yes as soon as prize points are redeemable for USD]
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