When will we have real money trading on Manifold?
23
1kṀ5094
resolved Nov 3
Resolved
N/A
na
Resolved
NO
Before July 2024
Resolved
YES
Before July 2026
Resolved
YES
Before Jan 2027
Resolved
YES
Before Jan 2027
Resolved
YES
Before Jan 2026
Resolved
YES
Before Jan 2025
Resolved
YES
Before July 2025
Resolved
YES
It will happen within 1 year of the Big Pivot
Resolved
NO
It will happen after CFTC approves prediction market on election outcomes
Resolved
NO
It will happen while James Grugett is still the CEO of Manifold
Resolved
NO
After Jimmy Carter dies
Resolved
NO
After Joe Biden dies
Resolved
NO
After Donald Trump dies
Resolved
NO
Before September 2024

If exchanging Mana to USD between users is no longer banned, resolves Yes.
If Mana can be exchanged to USD through Manifold, resolves Yes.

If Mana can be exchanged for gift card/ valuable goods that can be easily exchanged for USD, resolves Yes.

If a currency other than Mana is introduced on Manifold that can be exchange for real money, resolves Yes

[Update: I consider prize points to fit into the category of "valuable goods" that can be easily exchanged for USD, so this market will resolve Yes as soon as prize points are redeemable for USD]

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