This market resolves YES if OpenAI officially announces and makes publicly available any newly named AI model before 12:00 AM UTC on May 1, 2026.
Eligible announcements may include launches via:
Official OpenAI blog
Official livestream or event
Product page
API documentation
ChatGPT release notes
Verified OpenAI social media announcements tied to an actual release
A qualifying model must be a new publicly named model in one of these categories:
Language model
Reasoning model
Image model
Audio model
Video model
Multimodal model
Examples that count:
A new GPT-series model
A newly named reasoning model
A newly named image/video/audio model
A newly named API/developer model
This market resolves NO if no qualifying OpenAI model launch occurs before the deadline.
Does NOT count:
Silent upgrades to existing models
Minor revisions of an existing model
UI-only features
Pricing changes
Region rollouts
Rumors or leaks
Renaming without a real new release
Resolution source priority:
Official OpenAI sources
Official documentation
Public availability
Close Time:
May 1, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC
1,000