Will Alyssa Vance and Milo Nygren-Cassels have a baby?
21
358
370
2030
73%
chance

Last fall, I (Alyssa) got engaged to my boyfriend (Milo); right now we live together in downtown DC. We both like kids, but I am trans, so having a baby would be harder for us than it is for most couples.

This market resolves YES if there is a baby for whom Alyssa and Milo are the primary parents/caretakers before the year 2030, otherwise it resolves NO. The baby's genetics do not matter for purposes of this market, although I am super excited about the various projects to make gametes (eggs and sperm) from stem cells, and I really hope they'll work out.

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bought Ṁ10 of YES

perhaps tricky, but certainly seems possible. i hope it works out <3

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Hope the answer is yes. My naive forecast is 55% given the current price history (80%, started above 50% and went up).