This market will resolve to Yes if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at https://lmarena.ai/ reaches an Arena Score of at least 1520.0 (≥1520) in the Overall / General category by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.

Resolution will be based on the “Arena Score” shown on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with style control. Only the overall leaderboard (not coding or any other sub-category) is relevant for this market.

The primary resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard at https://lmarena.ai/. If this source is temporarily unavailable at the resolution time, the market will remain unresolved until it becomes accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible archival or mirror source of the same leaderboard data, at the discretion of the market resolver.