What is going to be the October surprise?
499
5.2kṀ190kresolved Nov 12
Resolved
YESNo surprise, boring party
Resolved
NOGeorge Bush endorses Harris
Resolved
NOBiden doesn't complete his term
Resolved
NOTrump is unable to complete his candidacy
Resolved
NOHarris emails scandal
Resolved
NOTrump Epstein drops
Resolved
NOAliens and/or Ufo
Resolved
NOJD Vance is dropped
Resolved
NOEither candidate accepted money from a foreign government illegally for their 2024 campaign
Resolved
NONikki Haley reverses her endorsement, endorses Harris
Resolved
NOTim Walz drops out
Resolved
NOMelania files for divorce
Resolved
NOSomething else not listed here
Resolved
NOTrump campaign files previously leaked to press are published (see comment)
Resolved
NONegative jobs growth
Resolved
NOIsrael invades Lebanon
Resolved
NOGaza ceasefire
Resolved
NOUnexpected military gains in the Ukraine-Russia war, directly influencing elections
Resolved
NOA leaked war or corruption document from Russia or Ukraine on either of the candidates
Resolved
NONuclear exchange between Iran and Israel
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/October_surprise
Only applies to news events between 10/1-10/31. Any events happening outside of that range must resolve No.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ1,791 | |
| 2 | Ṁ1,319 | |
| 3 | Ṁ1,002 | |
| 4 | Ṁ961 | |
| 5 | Ṁ761 |