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MANIFOLD
Will the S&P 500 close higher on June 22th than it closed on June 21th?
23
Ṁ470Ṁ2k
resolved Jun 22
Resolved
YES

Closes 2pm EDT. NYSE closes 4pm EDT.

Resolves according to the display at https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.INX:INDEXSP at the end of the day.

This market is part of the Goode's S&P Forecasting tournament for the month of June. At the end of the month top traders are eligible for a prize.

| Rank | Prize |
|------|-------|
| 1    | 1000  | 
| 2    | 750   | 
| 3    | 250   |

Good luck forecasting!

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predictedYES

its a crap shoot

@TeddyWeverka Depends how you trade. How much have you lost so far?

predictedNO

@NicoDelon I am up abit, based on expectation. Spent

Spent: Ṁ323

Expected value: Ṁ349

@TeddyWeverka Spent is the currently staked mana. It doesn’t account for how much you’ve spent in total.

predictedNO

@NicoDelon In addition to that, I have M2 in net profits from sales.

@TeddyWeverka Yeah I think most of us are going to make thin margins at best except for those who get lucky in their coin toss at the end.

@NicoDelon Hey man, you are basically day trading price action on the minute candles, but one can do it on the daily candles aswell.

predictedYES