What will happen at the meeting of hundreds of US generals and admirals next week?
51
1.7kṀ9348
Oct 5
90%
Photo/video op with Hegseth about the warrior ethos
50%
Loyalty test, poaching for new tasks on the ICE
34%
Something DJT claims he didn't know in advance
31%
7,5%+ of Admirals and Generals get fired
26%
Request of a special oath or pledge
18%
15%+ Admirals and Generals get fired
15%
Announcement of deployment of military to US Homeland
11%
Announcement of US boots on the ground in Gaza
5%
Announcement of US boots on the ground in combat role on Ukraine
4%
30%+ of generals and admirals get fired
4%
Announcement of invasion of Venezuela
3%
Announcement of US re-deployment to Afghanistan
2%
A attack on the meeting will be attempted
1.8%
Announcement of invasion of Greenland or Panama

I'll not bet in the market due to this likely getting fuzzy.

Add your own options. I reserve the right to resolve these NA though if finding the real answer is too subjective it tedious. You can reduce likelihood of that happening by commenting with evidence for resolving a certain way.

Context: https://archive.is/EfOOg

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Just noting that this still adds up way over 200% so the implication would be that more than one thing, more like several would happen there... My bet is that the options aren't perfectly calibrated instead.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy