What will happen at the meeting of hundreds of US generals and admirals next week?
68
1.7kṀ13k
resolved Oct 2
Resolved
YES
Photo/video op with Hegseth about the warrior ethos
Resolved
NO
30%+ of generals and admirals get fired
Resolved
NO
Announcement of deployment of military to US Homeland
Resolved
NO
Announcement of US boots on the ground in combat role on Ukraine
Resolved
NO
Announcement of US boots on the ground in Gaza
Resolved
NO
Announcement of US re-deployment to Afghanistan
Resolved
NO
Announcement of invasion of Greenland or Panama
Resolved
NO
Announcement of invasion of Venezuela
Resolved
NO
A attack on the meeting will be attempted
Resolved
NO
15%+ Admirals and Generals get fired
Resolved
NO
Something DJT claims he didn't know in advance
Resolved
NO
Request of a special oath or pledge
Resolved
NO
7,5%+ of Admirals and Generals get fired
Resolved
NO
Loyalty test, poaching for new tasks on the ICE

I'll not bet in the market due to this likely getting fuzzy.

Add your own options. I reserve the right to resolve these NA though if finding the real answer is too subjective it tedious. You can reduce likelihood of that happening by commenting with evidence for resolving a certain way.

Context: https://archive.is/EfOOg

  • Update 2025-09-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - 'Announcement of deployment of military to US Homeland' will be treated as YES based on Trump's remarks during the meeting; a formal/specific deployment order is not required.

    • 'Loyalty test, poaching for new tasks on ICE' currently NO; may revisit if new info emerges.

    • 'Something DJT claims he didn’t know in advance' currently NO; creator will wait to see post-meeting interviews.

    • 'Request of a special oath or pledge' currently NO; subject to change if later reporting shows otherwise.

    • Options about generals being fired: creator will wait 1–2 days before resolving to see if firings occur.

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@traders I resolved the answers that I think were clear cut at this point in time. For the three answers about generals getting fired, I want to give it a day or two. Trump said he'd talk to generals and fire anyone he doesn't like. Let's give that some time.

Here is what I am currently thinking on the other options:

  • Announcement of deployment of military to US Homeland - YES - While no concrete deployment was announced, Trump said it will be a major part of what people in the room will be doing and that he had told Pete the military should use US cities as a “training ground”

  • Loyalty test, poaching for new tasks on the ICE - NO - I am on the fence on this, given the remarks about firing anyone whom Trump doesn’t like and who disagrees.

  • Something DJT claims he didn’t know in advance - NO - Let’s give this a little bit to see what he says in interviews.

  • Request of a special oath or pledge - NO - IMO didn’t happen, but let's see what we hear in the next day or so about what happened after the public portion.

If anyone thinks any of these should be resolved differently, please make your case!

@AlexanderTheGreater

Announcement of deployment of military to US Homeland

  • While no concrete deployment was announced, Trump said it will be a major part of what people in the room will be doing and that he had told Pete the military should use US cities as a “training ground”

Contra: There was no actual announcement, and there is a difference between an announcement (big, formal, specific, implies commitment) and commentary on (can be backtracked, informal, doesn't imply any specific commitment, can be used to "read the room").

Also the quote was "this is gonna be a major part for some of the people in this room", as you pointed out in your previous comment not people in the room in general

bought Ṁ20 NO

@AlexanderTheGreater I agree, there was certainly no "announcement of deployment of military to US homeland". If that happened, it would be pretty big news.

bought Ṁ50 NO

Btw, here is Trump sending 700 marines to Los Angeles in July <https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/6/9/trump-to-activate-marines-to-respond-to-la-protests-in-major-escalation>. "this is going to be a major part for some of the people in this room" was already true a few months ago.

@NuñoSempere Good point about this already having been true a few months ago and thus not really an announcement.

Anyone wanting to argue the other direction?

Can someone explain to me why this is trending so low despite Trump saying that deployment to major blue cities is "gonna be a major part for some of the people in this room" and calling it a "war from within"?

https://www.reddit.com/r/law/comments/1nuerng/trump_declaring_war_on_united_states_cities_san/

@NuñoSempere I'm inclined to resolve this YES based on what I've seen online? Anyone wanting to argue against that?

@AlexanderTheGreater Sounds good to me

Just noting that this still adds up way over 200% so the implication would be that more than one thing, more like several would happen there... My bet is that the options aren't perfectly calibrated instead.

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