MANIFOLD
F1 - Who will be the 117th driver to win a Grand Prix?
1
Ṁ1kṀ300
resolved Mar 23
ResolvedN/A
11%
Alex Albon
11%
Lance Stroll
11%
Nico Hulkenberg
11%
Andrea Kimi Antonelli
11%
Liam Lawson
11%
Oliver Bearman
11%
Isack Hadjar
11%
Gabriel Birtoleto
11%Other

Who will be the next to add themselves to the list?

The last few new winners were:

  • 116 - Andrea Kimi Antonelli (2026)

  • 115 - Oscar Piastri (2024)

  • 114 - Lando Norris (2024)

  • 113 - George Russel (2022)

  • 112 - Carlos Sainz (2022)

  • 111 - Esteban Ocon (2021)

  • 110 - Sergio Perez (2020)

  • 109 - Pierre Gasly (2020)

  • 108 - Charles Leclerc (2019)

  • 107 - Valtteri Bottas (2017)

  • 106 - Max Verstappen (2016)

Market/resolution notes:

  • This should not matter for the market, but the current 116 figure is based on the official F1/FIA designations. So it includes winners of the Indy 500 when it was part of the WDC, it includes the years when F1 was run to Formula 2 rules and it excludes non-championship F1 races. To avoid ambiguity, my markets will always go by these official definitions!

  • The market will resolve to the next driver to win an officially designated Grand Prix which is part of the WDC. If there is an unsanctioned race or some form of breakaway series, a win there will not count.

  • A win in a sprint race will not count.

  • Please feel free to add more drivers to the market, especially if you think that the current winners will continue to dominate and you've got your eyes on an up-and-coming superstar from the junior formulae! The market will resolve to the name of a driver, so do not add an option like "an American woman" or "someone we haven't heard of yet". Do not add drivers who have already won a race - the market will not resolve to them.

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@AlexanderTheGreater n/a market? he already won agp

@prismatic ah, crap! I knew I just have missed a spot to update

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