Some reports on social media claim that Assad was on a plane out of Syriah that crashed near Homs today 12/7 (PST time zone). This resolved YES if Assad was in fact on an airplane today that crashed and he died as a consequence of that crash. It does not have to be near Homs or on a flight that was in fact heading out of Syriah. Fatal Crash anywhere on route to anywhere counts.
If Assad survives or died from unrelated causes or on a later date this resolves NO.
Example of social media story: https://bsky.app/profile/slothropsmap.bsky.social/post/3lcraflomcs2q
If we don't know by end date this resolves NA
Possible clarification from creator (AI generated): The market will resolve YES if Assad dies from any type of non-normal landing of an airplane (including both accidental crashes and intentional attacks), as long as it occurs on the specified date.
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Reuters confirms him in Russia as well https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/syria-rebels-celebrate-captured-homs-set-sights-damascus-2024-12-07/
@AlexanderTheGreater I just want to point out that Reuters too references Russian media when they say he is in Moscow. So if you (understandably) don't fully trust Russian media, you should neither trust that article 😉
But I don't see any reason why they should be lying on this, and it makes sense for them to grant him Asylum, so I don't mind you resolving the question 👍🏻
Russian media is reporting he's in Russia and was given asylum. https://www.semafor.com/article/12/08/2024/syrian-rebels-claim-damascus-overthrow-bashar-al-assads-regime
I'll hold off a tiny bit longer because I don't fully trust Russian media
@PaulBenjaminPhotographer MH-17 is described as a "crash", so no, no hair splitting on this.
@PaulBenjaminPhotographer I plan to resolve YES regardless of cause of the airplane's involuntary return to ground as long as the airplane returned to the ground in a way that's not a normal landing which resulted in Assad's death.
@uair01 agreed. Too many rumors and unknowns. Too much wishful thinking too! "Nothing ever happens" got a good beating recently but sticking to NO still.
