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MANIFOLD
Will the afternoon temperature in Washington, DC reach 47 degrees Fahrenheit on Inauguration Day?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ200
resolved Feb 2
Resolved
NO

DC has hot summers and chilly winters. Many nights are below freezing, and afternoon temperatures can often struggle to come too far above 50F in January. Disregard the “Feels Like” temp, will it come up to at least 47F on 1/20/2025?

Will resolve several but not many days before the day, in order to reduce obvious Yes/No immediately before closure. We will use an accurate forecasting platform to see if it’ll be 47,48,49,50,etc or if it’ll only be 46,45,44,43,etc

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@AlexanderStoddard
Never got above 29F that day and moved it inside a few days before due to freezing temperatures.
So think it should resolve no
Resolve please.

@AlexanderStoddard

"Will resolve several but not many days before the day, in order to reduce obvious Yes/No immediately before closure."

So you are going to resolve before knowing the actual weather that day?

"We will use an accurate forecasting platform"

Which one? Or are you just randomly going to chose yourself without holders knowing?