When will Valve release a new Steam Deck after the Steam Deck OLED
When will Valve release a new Steam Deck after the Steam Deck OLED
12
440Ṁ6022029
0.9%
2023
1%
2024
26%
2025
66%
2026
3%
2027
1.2%
2028
1.2%
Later than 2028 or Never
1.2%
Valve first released the steam deck in 2022. A revised model was released in 2023 called the Steam Deck OLED.
Valve has publically announced that the Steam Deck 2 is still a number of years out.
This question will resolve when Valve sends the first shipment of a new Steam Deck or if January 1 2029 is reached with no new Steam Deck.
New revisions include any steam deck with a new name and upgraded component.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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