Resolution criteria

This market is of type DATE and resolves to the date (in UTC) when either Drake or Jay-Z officially releases a new studio album or EP during September 2026.

• Definition of "Album": A qualifying release must be a studio album or EP consisting of at least 5 distinct tracks or having a total runtime of at least 15 minutes, officially distributed on major streaming platforms (such as Spotify, Apple Music, Tidal, or YouTube). Soundtracks, compilation albums, re-releases/remastered anniversaries, and DJ mixes do not qualify.

• Resolution Rule:

  • If either artist releases a qualifying album in September 2026, the market resolves to the date of that release.

  • If both artists release qualifying albums on different dates in September 2026, the market resolves to the date of the earliest release.

  • If neither artist releases a qualifying album between September 1, 2026, and September 30, 2026 (inclusive), this market will resolve to N/A.

• Sources: Resolution will be verified using official streaming platform release dates and reporting from reputable music publications (e.g., Billboard, Pitchfork, Rolling Stone).

Background

• Drake: Following his trilogy of surprise album drops on May 15, 2026 (ICEMAN, HABIBTI, and MAID OF HONOUR), Drake has teased a new project titled "Fear Of Missing Out" (FOMO). He has scheduled a YouTube livestream event for September 15, 2026, prompting fan speculation that a fourth 2026 album or EP may be released on or around that date.

• Jay-Z: Jay-Z is in the middle of his global "Jay-Z 30 Tour" celebrating his catalog. While Roc Nation previously dismissed rumors of a completed album as "fake news" in August 2026, they sparked further speculation by teasing a "Sept 1st" announcement, which turned out to be related to tour expansion rather than a confirmed album release.

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