Will the COVID emergency in the US end on (or before) May 11?
resolved May 17

Joe Biden's administration recently said it will end COVID-19 emergency declarations on May 11.

Biden also said to a reporter that the emergency will end "when the Supreme Court ends it", suggesting that the plan is to find a reason to extend the emergency yet again by May.

Will the COVID emergency end on (or before) May 11?

Resolution notes: The market should resolve on June 1. If there is a new emergency by the end of May, this will resolve as "NO". If Congress overrides Biden to end the emergency on (or before) May 11, this will resolve as "YES". Anything described as a << partial lifting >> on May 11 in the media will be subject to discretion, but would probably resolve as "NO".

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bought Ṁ3,000 of YES

This has already occurred

predicted YES

@AlexPower This can resolve YES

predicted NO

@Quate there is a certain sense the resolution criteria are clear in that I have paid for insurance against some new emergency through the end of the month, and I want to keep it. (and with loans, it's not a large inconvenience to the YES holders) On the other hand, ... meh. If there is an unexpected new emergency, more manifold mana will not help anything.

predicted YES
bought Ṁ1,500 of YES

Biden signs bill ending COVID-19 national emergency - CBS News https://www.cbsnews.com/amp/news/biden-signs-bill-ending-covid-19-national-emergency/

predicted NO

Update: https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/3924499-biden-declines-to-veto-gop-led-measure-to-end-covid-19-emergency/

"President Biden will not veto a GOP-led effort to end the COVID-19 national emergency, Senate Majority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) told Democratic senators on Wednesday.

A Senate Democratic source confirmed that Schumer informed senators of the decision. The move comes ahead of a planned vote in the upper chamber on the measure later in the day.

The bill would terminate the COVID-19 national emergency effective immediately. The Biden administration has said it would let it expire in mid-May."