Will the COVID emergency in the US end on (or before) May 11? | Manifold Markets

closes Jun 1

Will the COVID emergency in the US end on (or before) May 11?

72%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Joe Biden's administration recently said it will end COVID-19 emergency declarations on May 11.

Biden also said to a reporter that the emergency will end "when the Supreme Court ends it", suggesting that the plan is to find a reason to extend the emergency yet again by May.

Will the COVID emergency end on (or before) May 11?

Resolution notes: The market should resolve on June 1. If there is a new emergency by the end of May, this will resolve as "NO". If Congress overrides Biden to end the emergency on (or before) May 11, this will resolve as "YES". Anything described as a << partial lifting >> on May 11 in the media will be subject to discretion, but would probably resolve as "NO".

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YES payouts

Ṁ2,890

Ṁ1,400

Ṁ109

Ṁ41

Ṁ37

Ṁ25

Ṁ17

Ṁ15

Ṁ15

NO payouts

Ṁ2,524

Ṁ66

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot

Ṁ52

Ṁ33

AccelerationBot

Ṁ1

John Gaius sold Ṁ18 YES at 72%

Alex Power created limit order for Ṁ100 NO at 75%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ42/Ṁ100 YES at 72% (cancelled)

Quate bought Ṁ390 YES from 65% to 71%

Miti Saksena bought Ṁ10 YES at 65%

Andrew Hebb bought Ṁ10 YES at 65%

zQ4Z82W bought Ṁ500 YES from 63% to 65%

cc6 sold Ṁ37 YES from 64% to 63%

zQ4Z82W bought Ṁ100 YES from 61% to 64%

cc6 bought Ṁ35 YES from 59% to 61%

zQ4Z82W created limit order for Ṁ100 YES at 55%

zQ4Z82W bought Ṁ100 YES from 55% to 59%

zQ4Z82W created limit order for Ṁ200 YES at 50%

zQ4Z82W bought Ṁ100 YES from 53% to 55%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ26/Ṁ100 NO at 53% (cancelled)

zQ4Z82W bought Ṁ200 YES from 45% to 54%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ17/Ṁ100 NO at 45% (cancelled)

zQ4Z82W bought Ṁ100 YES from 41% to 46%

zQ4Z82W bought Ṁ10 YES from 40% to 41%

Zach Cardwell sold Ṁ16 YES from 41% to 40%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ23/Ṁ100 YES at 41% (cancelled)

Alex Power bought Ṁ140 NO from 45% to 40%

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ28/Ṁ32 NO at 45% (cancelled)

zQ4Z82W bought Ṁ100 YES from 41% to 46%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ17/Ṁ100 NO at 41% (cancelled)

zQ4Z82W bought Ṁ75 YES from 38% to 42%

Alex Power created limit order for Ṁ400 NO at 90%

Alex Power created limit order for Ṁ400 NO at 80% (cancelled)

Alex Power filled limit order Ṁ350/Ṁ350 NO at 65%

Alex Power filled limit order Ṁ44/Ṁ250 NO at 55% (cancelled)

zQ4Z82W bought Ṁ10 YES from 37% to 38%

zQ4Z82W bought Ṁ30 YES from 35% to 37%

Alex Power bought Ṁ120 NO from 40% to 35%

S G bought Ṁ10 YES from 39% to 40%

zQ4Z82W bought Ṁ15 YES from 38% to 39%

Alex Power bought Ṁ50 NO from 40% to 38%

zQ4Z82W bought Ṁ50 YES at 40%

zQ4Z82W bought Ṁ100 YES at 40%

Cytokine bought Ṁ7 YES at 40%

John Gaius bought Ṁ10 YES from 39% to 40%

DFWolves bought Ṁ20 NO from 40% to 39%

Quate bought Ṁ200 YES from 38% to 40%

Quate bought Ṁ100 YES from 27% to 38%

Hannah Fox bought Ṁ10 YES from 26% to 27%

Zach Cardwell bought Ṁ10 YES from 25% to 26%

Sophia Laird bought Ṁ10 YES from 23% to 25%

Duncn bought Ṁ50 NO from 26% to 23%

ManualBlinking bought Ṁ25 YES from 20% to 26%

Alex Power filled limit order Ṁ500/Ṁ500 NO at 40%

Alex Power bought Ṁ50 NO from 50% to 20%

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