Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if MrBeast uploads a new video to his main YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast) between June 3, 2025, and June 19, 2025, inclusive. The upload date will be determined by the date displayed on the video page. If no new video is uploaded within this timeframe, the market will resolve to "No."
Background
MrBeast, whose real name is Jimmy Donaldson, is a prominent YouTuber known for his elaborate challenges and philanthropic videos. As of June 1, 2025, his channel has over 400 million subscribers. His recent uploads include:
"World’s Fastest Robbers" on May 2, 2025
"Would You Go On Vacation With A Stranger?" on April 29, 2025
"Would You Risk Drowning for $500,000?" on April 26, 2025
These videos suggest a pattern of releasing new content every few days to a week. However, MrBeast has previously indicated that he does not adhere to a strict upload schedule, and his release frequency can vary. (tubeast.com)
Considerations
While MrBeast's recent activity indicates a relatively frequent upload pattern, his history of irregular posting schedules means that predicting exact upload dates can be challenging. Additionally, the production complexity of his videos may influence the timing of releases.
@AlexMenell I looked at that, but his most recent one was gaming, so the next one is probably main acc