Your move!
Link to the game in lichess:
d4 d5
c4 c6
Nc3 Nf6
Nf3 e6
Bg5 dxc4
e4 b5
e5 h6
Bh4 g5
Nxg5 hxg5
Bxg5 Nbd7
You (Manifold) have been challenged to a game of chess! You'll be white playing me (Alex) a ~2000 lichess player who will not use any outside assistance.
After the market close I will generate a random number and the move corresponding to that percentage will be picked. For example, order the moves from highest percentage to lowest. Then to find a moves range you sum the percentages that are greater which give you the lower end of the range than add the percentage of the move itself to get the higher end of the range.
Here's the previous move and a market for the result:
Oct 8, 6:39am: Random number between 1-1014 is...880 so Qf3 is the move!
1,000
3.00@Mateon1 Not sure that's relevant - in general folks aren't blundering by accident. Folks who want to win (either to make money with a YES position on the "will white win?" market or because they are pure of heart) seem very capable of identifying strong moves so far, folks who want to lose (either to make money on a NO position or because they are trolls) will always have plenty of candidate blunders.
@Mateon1 Oh wow, I really love this line. 11. g3 Rg8 12. h4 Rxg5 is the best response for Black, sacking the rook for our bishop.
@ms The proper notation for that would be Qf3. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Algebraic_notation_(chess) - without specifying what piece you're moving a pawn move is assumed.
@Mateon1 not sure if that’s the correct notation- I meant the queen to go to f3. How would the rook attack our bishop?
@Tetraspace I haven't explored the lines deeply yet (because Black could have responded Be7, which would have been worse for us, actually), but Leela prefers this move while Stockfish switches between this and exf6.