
Will Jose Luis Ricon have a lower DunedinPACE Rate of Aging than Sam Altman?
1
closes 2031
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Related markets
It will turn out that Sam Altman is the Second Coming of Christ (or is the best person to adapt himself to the role)8%
EXTREMELY LITERAL JUDGING: Will I (Ronny Fernandez) think that Eliezer Yudkowsky (No) or Nick Davidov (Yes) should have won the proposed bet if Nick Davidov agreed to it? (See description for details.)5%
Will Aubrey de Grey be determined to have a higher concentration of microplastics in his brain than Peter Thiel?33%
Will I think that Nate Soares was/is 'basically right' about discontinuous takeoff and the sharp left turn in 2 years?15%
In 2040, will Holden Karnofsky think that donating Open Philanthropy's money so quickly was a tragic mistake?9%
Will I think it would have been ex-post better to try to get a job at Anthropic instead of working at Redwood Research?34%
Related markets
It will turn out that Sam Altman is the Second Coming of Christ (or is the best person to adapt himself to the role)8%
EXTREMELY LITERAL JUDGING: Will I (Ronny Fernandez) think that Eliezer Yudkowsky (No) or Nick Davidov (Yes) should have won the proposed bet if Nick Davidov agreed to it? (See description for details.)5%
Will Aubrey de Grey be determined to have a higher concentration of microplastics in his brain than Peter Thiel?33%
Will I think that Nate Soares was/is 'basically right' about discontinuous takeoff and the sharp left turn in 2 years?15%
In 2040, will Holden Karnofsky think that donating Open Philanthropy's money so quickly was a tragic mistake?9%
Will I think it would have been ex-post better to try to get a job at Anthropic instead of working at Redwood Research?34%