Will Jose Luis Ricon have a lower DunedinPACE Rate of Aging than Sam Altman?
closes 2031

Related markets

Do you trust Sam Altman?22%
Will Peter Thiel's Horvath DNAm age be higher than his chronological age?18%
It will turn out that Sam Altman is the Second Coming of Christ (or is the best person to adapt himself to the role)8%
Did Sam Trabucco lose >$1B in a single trade during his time at Alameda?64%
Will Vitalik Buterin have a Horvath DNAm age lower than his biological age?70%
EXTREMELY LITERAL JUDGING: Will I (Ronny Fernandez) think that Eliezer Yudkowsky (No) or Nick Davidov (Yes) should have won the proposed bet if Nick Davidov agreed to it? (See description for details.)5%
Will Oppenheimer bring back the fedora?23%
Will Aubrey de Grey be determined to have a higher concentration of microplastics in his brain than Peter Thiel?33%
Will I think that Nate Soares was/is 'basically right' about discontinuous takeoff and the sharp left turn in 2 years?15%
Will I think it would have been ex-post better for Redwood Research to dissolve?17%
Will Eric Drexler ever win a Nobel Prize?13%
Who will Nate Silver get hired by?
Will Scott Alexander blog about Silicon Valley Bank this year?13%
Will the Unstable Diffusion team have their stripe funding interrupted?37%
Will Alcor go bankrupt before any of their patients are revived?52%
In 2040, will Holden Karnofsky think that donating Open Philanthropy's money so quickly was a tragic mistake?9%
Will Mike Alfred's claims about First Republic Bank (FRC) prove accurate?4%
Will I think it would have been ex-post better to try to get a job at Anthropic instead of working at Redwood Research?34%
Will Patrick Finley win an Emergent Ventures grant?50%
Will Nate Silver join or found an organization associated with EA, rationalists, or prediction markets?25%