Will Jose Luis Ricon have a lower DunedinPACE Rate of Aging than Sam Altman?
1
closes 2031
59%
chance

Related markets

Do you trust Sam Altman?22%
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It will turn out that Sam Altman is the Second Coming of Christ (or is the best person to adapt himself to the role)8%
Did Sam Trabucco lose >$1B in a single trade during his time at Alameda?64%
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EXTREMELY LITERAL JUDGING: Will I (Ronny Fernandez) think that Eliezer Yudkowsky (No) or Nick Davidov (Yes) should have won the proposed bet if Nick Davidov agreed to it? (See description for details.)5%
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Will I think it would have been ex-post better for Redwood Research to dissolve?17%
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Who will Nate Silver get hired by?
Will Scott Alexander blog about Silicon Valley Bank this year?13%
Will the Unstable Diffusion team have their stripe funding interrupted?37%
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In 2040, will Holden Karnofsky think that donating Open Philanthropy's money so quickly was a tragic mistake?9%
Will Mike Alfred's claims about First Republic Bank (FRC) prove accurate?4%
Will I think it would have been ex-post better to try to get a job at Anthropic instead of working at Redwood Research?34%
Will Patrick Finley win an Emergent Ventures grant?50%
Will Nate Silver join or found an organization associated with EA, rationalists, or prediction markets?25%