Will Alia Abbas become a Thiel Fellow? | Manifold Markets

closes Jan 2, 2026

Will Alia Abbas become a Thiel Fellow?

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Related markets

Will Claire get into Stanford?65%

Will Claire Wang end up attending MIT or Harvard?35%

Will I get the Senior Program Associate position at Open Philanthropy by the end of the year?21%

Will I qualify for the 2023 International Linguistics Olympiad?80%

Will I do a research placement that contributes to my advanced doctoral thesis?50%

Will I spend a significant amount of time on creating chances for Yudkowsky to get a prestigious prize in literature (or find someone who’ll do that)?50%