Before the end of 2023 there will be an open source model that is equivalent in quality to #GPT4 (Richard Socher) | Manifold Markets

closes Jan 1, 2024

Before the end of 2023 there will be an open source model that is equivalent in quality to #GPT4 (Richard Socher)

24%

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Definition of "open source" for this market?

Related markets

Will we have a FOSS GPT-4 Equivalent by the end of the year?29%

Will we have a FOSS equivalent of GPT-4 by the end of the year?20%

In what year will a GPT4-equivalent model be able to run on consumer hardware?2024

In what year will a GPT3-equivalent model be able to run on consumer hardware?2023

Is GPT-4 best? (2023)55%

Vincent Luczkow

Will a version of GPT-4 finetuned for code be released this year?95%

1) GPT-4 will be released in the next couple months—and yes, it will be a big deal.98%

Will GPT-4 exceed chatGPT interest? (2023)13%

Will GPT-4's parameter count be announced by the end of 2023?26%

Will GPT-4 be the most searched model of 2023?18%

Related markets

Will we have a FOSS GPT-4 Equivalent by the end of the year?29%

Will we have a FOSS equivalent of GPT-4 by the end of the year?20%

In what year will a GPT4-equivalent model be able to run on consumer hardware?2024

In what year will a GPT3-equivalent model be able to run on consumer hardware?2023

Is GPT-4 best? (2023)55%

Vincent Luczkow

Will a version of GPT-4 finetuned for code be released this year?95%

1) GPT-4 will be released in the next couple months—and yes, it will be a big deal.98%

Will GPT-4 exceed chatGPT interest? (2023)13%

Will GPT-4's parameter count be announced by the end of 2023?26%

Will GPT-4 be the most searched model of 2023?18%