Will the next Starship Orbital Launch attempt occur before the end of October 2023? | Manifold

Will the next Starship Orbital Launch attempt occur before the end of October 2023?

44

closes Nov 2

30%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if an official SpaceX social media channel puts up a livestream entitled "Starship Orbital Flight Test", "Starship Orbital Launch", or similar, which shows a live feed of Starship and a countdown, NO if there is clearly no such livestream by market close, and N/A if it is ambiguous whether this has happened at market close.

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Gaurav Yadav bought Ṁ25 NO from 32% to 30%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 YES at 32% (cancelled) 🤖

mxxun sold Ṁ14 YES from 33% to 31%

mxxun sold Ṁ6 YES from 34% to 33%

Chris Billington bought Ṁ10 YES from 32% to 34%

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Chris Billington bought Ṁ80 NO from 37% to 32%

mxxun sold Ṁ19 YES from 40% to 37%

MayMeta bought Ṁ50 NO from 44% to 40%

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mxxun bought Ṁ50 YES from 40% to 46%

Lood van Niekerk created limit order for Ṁ50 NO at 50%

Lood van Niekerk created limit order for Ṁ100 NO at 90%

Domer bought Ṁ50 NO from 45% to 40%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ14/Ṁ100 YES at 45% (cancelled) 🤖

mxxun sold Ṁ51 YES from 49% to 43%

Voidvamp sold Ṁ31 NO from 46% to 49%

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Daniel Pugh bought Ṁ5 YES at 65%

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