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Fingers crossed for those in west Florida.

if milton reaches cat 4 and weakens below that by resolution time, does that resolve yes or no?

@JustinThein, for simplicity’s sake it will resolve no. Milton must be at least cat 4 at the 11 pm report from NOAA/NHC. If there’s one at 12 am, we’ll resolve based on that report.

@Akahst wait wait wait, you said "BY" and not "AT". That's a big change

@JamesBaker3, That’s a fair point. I actually got the date wrong. I meant the question to be focused on rapid intensification so I really meant cat 4 by midnight tonight. Looks like this question will be moot anyway.

@JamesBaker3 Yeah, this should resolve yes, and now.

How do they measure that - is it any one wind measurement, or does the wind need to sustain for a certain number of minutes? I assume there's some official declaration from a gov source?

@JamesBaker3, it will be based on NOAA and the NHC call.

@Akahst Often "a blend" of several data points depending what is available and how reliable they usually are.

Some are adjusted to near sea level. Aims for 1 min average so not a short gust.