Will a new destiny video reach 500k views in September 2023? | Manifold

Will a new destiny video reach 500k views in September 2023?

44

closes Oct 1

8%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves yes if a video posted in September on destiny's main channel reaches 500k views before 1/10/2023

Livestreams and Youtube shorts don't count.

Get Ṁ500 play money

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dieselbaby1337bought Ṁ100 of NO

No chance this happens, if you go through his published videos on his channel, it's been a few months since he last had a video that hit north of 500k, and it took a little bit for that video to reach such a view count.

Barring some extremely rare unforeseen event, I would say there's a much lower than 23% chance of this possibly happening in the next 10 days. Easy money.

dieselbaby1337 bought Ṁ25 NO at 8%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 8% 🤖

Michael Holtzapple bought Ṁ100 NO at 9%

YE bought Ṁ500 NO from 13% to 9%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 13% 🤖

YE bought Ṁ325 NO from 17% to 14%

YE bought Ṁ36 NO from 18% to 17%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ60/Ṁ100 YES at 18% (cancelled) 🤖

Daniel Conomos bought Ṁ405 NO from 19% to 14%

Daniel Conomos bought Ṁ100 NO from 21% to 19%

Fake Weiss bought Ṁ35 NO from 22% to 21%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ28/Ṁ100 YES at 22% (cancelled) 🤖

Michael Holtzapple bought Ṁ200 NO from 24% to 20%

Azaurus bought Ṁ20 YES from 23% to 24%

animal bought Ṁ100 YES from 15% to 23%

Revel bought Ṁ1 YES at 15%

Revel bought Ṁ100 NO at 15% 🎁

Michael's Bot LaboratoryBot filled limit order Ṁ10/Ṁ10 NO at 15% 🤖

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 15% 🤖

Joe 49 bought Ṁ100 YES from 10% to 16%

Michael Holtzapple bought Ṁ200 NO from 11% to 10%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ26/Ṁ100 YES at 11% (cancelled) 🤖

Michael Holtzapple bought Ṁ400 NO from 12% to 9%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 12% 🤖

drt0 bought Ṁ201 NO from 16% to 14%

Sholton bought Ṁ100 NO from 18% to 16%

Matt McDade bought Ṁ10 NO at 18%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 18% 🤖

Dennis filled limit order Ṁ500/Ṁ500 NO at 16%

Dennis filled limit order Ṁ119/Ṁ500 NO at 18% (cancelled)

dieselbaby1337 bought Ṁ100 NO from 22% to 20%

VeatBot filled limit order Ṁ20/Ṁ20 NO at 22% 🤖

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 23% 🤖

dieselbaby1337 sold Ṁ590 NO from 14% to 26%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ75/Ṁ100 NO at 14% (cancelled) 🤖

Christian Hanssen bought Ṁ15 NO at 15%

Michael Holtzapple bought Ṁ50 NO from 16% to 15%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ30/Ṁ100 YES at 16% (cancelled) 🤖

Michael Holtzapple bought Ṁ100 NO from 15% to 14%

Michael Holtzapple bought Ṁ150 NO from 17% to 15%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 NO at 17% 🤖

austin bought Ṁ100 YES from 11% to 19%

dieselbaby1337 bought Ṁ100 NO from 12% to 11%

Un Sub bought Ṁ100 NO from 13% to 12%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ25/Ṁ100 YES at 13% (cancelled) 🤖

Un Sub bought Ṁ100 NO from 12% to 11%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ45/Ṁ100 NO at 12% (cancelled) 🤖

Un Sub bought Ṁ100 NO from 14% to 12%

Un Sub bought Ṁ100 NO from 15% to 14%

dieselbaby1337 bought Ṁ100 NO from 17% to 15%

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