Will a new destiny video reach 500k views in September 2023?
44
closes Oct 1
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ118 +1087.2%
New probability
9% +0.5%
Resolves yes if a video posted in September on destiny's main channel reaches 500k views before 1/10/2023
Livestreams and Youtube shorts don't count.
Get Ṁ500 play money
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dieselbaby1337bought Ṁ100 of NO
No chance this happens, if you go through his published videos on his channel, it's been a few months since he last had a video that hit north of 500k, and it took a little bit for that video to reach such a view count.
Barring some extremely rare unforeseen event, I would say there's a much lower than 23% chance of this possibly happening in the next 10 days. Easy money.
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