If Lex Fridman publishes a podcast with me as either a full or partial guest before the end of 2023, this will resolve 'yes'
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@Liloz01 Information that influenced the outcome? Like secret video of Lex with Russian hookers that they used to blackmail him in to inviting her?
@egroj I'm trying to resolve it but it keeps giving me "APIError: An unknown error occurred."
I guess i'll try again later?
@Aella I recently changed the resolution system to track payouts better but it looks like it has trouble when there are a lot of payouts, working on a fix rn!
i have no secret knowledge i just spent 14usd buying NO as part of my strategy to bet against rightwingers, which has been successful because prediction markets bias toward rightwingers pretty heavily. one time i asked aella online for a hundo to help me buy impossible whoppers and maybe some gas on my roadtrip to protesting a reputable business in LA. i can only assume when she ignored my request that she, like all libertarians and rationalists and and effective altruists, is ideologically opposed to protest. its unsurprising to hear that she is critical of black lives matter mobilization, for example. its obvious that she's a rightwinger, so as a stoic and disciplined mind, i adhered to my strategy to bet against rightwingers. thanks for reading my comment.
here are some disclaimers about my comment: im not cancelling anyone and im just asking questions. thanks again for reading my internet comment
@AlexPower Oh no. This market did not resolve in my favor. Hopefully I am not leaving money on the table in my other markets ...
@NuñoSempere I may be horribly wrong, but this seems like one of these cases where prediction markets don’t incentivize revealing information. I would be better off not saying anything and capturing more people buying into my limit order, than sharing evidence.
That said, watch 1 minute of this, from the timestamped moment: https://youtu.be/tJrA2XAtH_k?t=30170, and evaluate for yourself along with all the other recent market movements.