How many showers did I take in 2024?
146
57kṀ96k
resolved Jan 1
100%14%
21-25
0.6%
0-5
1.2%
6-10
2%
11-15
6%
16-20
32%
26-30
29%
31-35
5%
36-40
1.3%
41-45
0.9%
46-50
0.8%
51-55
0.7%
56-60
0.8%
61-70
0.8%
71-80
0.8%
81-90
0.9%
91-100
3%
101+

Predict how many showers I will have taken in the year 2024. I'll resolve this Jan 1st or when I remember.

I track how many times I showered in the app Daylio, and will use the number there as the final result.

Baths don't count (I almost never take baths, I think I've taken one in 2024)

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If I may ask, why so few? Why make this fact public?

good lord, less than 25 showers in an entire year?

Yikes

I'm confused why are people betting so low?

@spiderduckpig internet nerds dont shower

@spiderduckpig One of the things Aella is most famous for on the internet is not showering very often.

@spiderduckpig https://manifold.markets/Schneefackel/how-many-shower-alerts-will-aella-p

37 in 2023 but at the time she was doing shower alerts it seemed to be significantly lower. Idk if she's stopped doing them entirely or paywalled them

@Fedor “Most famous for” Dude it’s a desperate cry for attention. She’s not “famous” for it any more than people are “famous” for cutting their wrists

@FoxKHTML this is a fun little market and no one is requiring you to care about it or aella. You seem to care the most about this despite not even wanting to bet, I recommend just muting anything with "aella" in it

@wan i just stopped updating shower alerts, i have still been taking showers

@Aella ah yeah that was vague. I meant the alerts lol

@wan I like the alternate interpretation of the message where "them" referred to the showers, meaning she paywalled them.

@Aella 'i have still been taking showers' (resolves market to 21-25 showers in a fucking year) lol

You’re not funny or quirky. You’re disgusting and you will die alone

@FoxKHTML There's no need to be rude.

@CommanderZander Someone had to say it.

“Baths don't count (I almost never take baths, I think I've taken one in 2024)”

Just SCREAMING for attention from someone who has objectively failed at life. We don’t need that. We’re not her therapist.

"you don't get to have cool flaws" probably entails "you don't get to have uncool flaws"

@FoxKHTML Funny? Debatable. Senses of humor vary. I'll give you that one. Quirky? Holy sh*t, definitely. I don't know how you don't see that. Disgusting? Definitely not. You don't get to be one of the highest payed sex workers in the world by being gross. Die alone? Everyone dies alone. 2/4.

@IsaacLinn “Quirky? Holy sh*t, definitely. I don't know how you don't see that.” “You don't get to be one of the highest payed sex workers in the world by being gross.”

Bait or regarded? You could torture me for a million years and I would never say something so emasculated

@FoxKHTML Neither probably. Also could you explain to me how what the above commenter said is emasculating?

@AristotelisKostelenos Reads like pussy worshipping soy

@FoxKHTML Could be "pussy worshipping soy" whatever that means but it could also be statement of fact? Aella is in fact a very highly paid sex worker. I don't think you transform into pussy worshipping soy by acknowledging this. If you think one becomes pussy worshipping soy by acknowledging things that are true, then I might end up thinking that you my friend are "completely fucking regarded and brainrotted beyond saving" . One might posit that you can be disgusting and at the same time sexually desirable, or one might have a perception of quirkyness that doesn't include not showering for prolonged periods of time.

I might even agree with that actually.

These would all be valid subjective disagreements one can have with the comment. And yet, you have failed to convince me that the commenter themselves is emascualted or soy or a gooner or anything for that matter.

@AristotelisKostelenos hit the gym, fatass

@FoxKHTML i bet you're really very lonely

@FoxKHTML I might actually. Btw this has been my most lucrative trade in terms of percent return on investment.

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