MANIFOLD
Will at least one US private credit fund with >$1 billion in AUM announce it is closing to new investors by June 15, 202
1
Ṁ100Ṁ50
Apr 30
72%
chance

Resolves YES if at least one private credit fund with over $1 billion in assets under management publicly announces it is closing or significantly restricting new investments by June 15, 2026, citing market stress or risk management. Resolves NO if no such announcement occurs. Source: Fund press releases, SEC filings, Bloomberg/Reuters/Financial news coverage.

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