Will the new Harry Potter game have more than 70% positive reviews a month after its release ?
11
210Ṁ291
resolved Jul 22
Resolved
YES

While many await the arrival of the new Harry Potter game, some boycott it due to the transphobic remarks of J.K Rowling, will it affect the overall score ?

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There's a bunch of ambiguities, so I'll try to clear them up to explain why I resolved this as YES.

  • "the new Harry Potter game:" Given the context of when the market was created, this almost certainly means Hogwarts Legacy.

  • No review source is listed: I will check Metacritic, since it aggregates reviews from a bunch of different sources; I'll use the rating given to the PC version, and it'll be clear why in a moment. The wording of the question also seems like how Steam reviews are presented, so I'll check that too. If the average of [percent of Metacritic reviews of the PC version that are positive] and [percent of Steam reviews that are positive] is at least 70%, this resolves YES. I believe that's a clear proxy for "70% of critics and 70% of players enjoyed this game."

Metacritic: 19/22 critic reviews are positive, or ~86%

Steam: 92% of user reviews are positive.

Average = 89% > 70%.

The percentage of positive user reviews on Metacritic for PC is also above 70% (72%), as are the Metacritic user and critic scores on PS5 and Xbox Series X.

While these are the scores as of July 22 rather than March 7, I highly doubt any of them (except maybe the PC user score on Metacritic) were below 70% positive at that point. As such, I feel confident resolving this to YES.

💡 I am using my moderation permissions to resolve this market on behalf of the creator. This is according to the Manifold Markets unresolved markets policy found here.

If the creator returns and wishes to change the resolution, please reply to this comment and tag @DavidChee. The admins will then undo the resolution I chose and you may pick your desired resolution.

It's stayed in the 80s on all formats with enough currency to have a metascore. Time to resolve!

Hogwart

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