For the past few months I've been lifting, following this beginner program. I record all my workouts in this public spreadsheet.
I created a plot showing my lifts over time:
As well as a linear extrapolation of them:
Extrapolating linearly, which is optimistic, shows that I'll deadlift over 450lbs by the end of this year. Will I be able to deadlift over 425lbs x4 times?
I intend to keep on training 3x/week, and eating enough protein, though I'm vegan and don't control this on purpose much. I will update the public spreadsheet every time I train. I measure 198cm and weigh 103kg.
Self betting: I do not plan to bet on the market at this time. I may bet YES for motivation in the future, but will warn participants with a comment 3 days in advance.
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@shankypanky Yeah it’s been clear for a while that it would not happen. Sad but life got in the way, and it was very optimistic to begin with.
I suspect you are probably largely observing previously acquired strength potential. I bet NO because i suspect you are a bit past the "intermediate" threshold in the linked article in terms of strength potential, but have 2-3 years of development before you hit the "advanced" threshold.