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MANIFOLD
What cultural generation will the next POTUS be part of?
5
Ṁ100Ṁ47
2029
12%
Silent Generation or older (born before 1946)
17%
Boomer (1946-1964)
38%
Generation X (1965-1980)
34%
Millennial or younger (born in 1981 or later)

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the generation of the next President of the United States (the 48th president, or the individual who succeeds current President Donald Trump). The market will resolve based on the official birth year of the next President to take the oath of office:

  • Silent Generation or older: Born in 1945 or earlier

  • Boomer: Born between 1946 and 1964, inclusive

  • Generation X: Born between 1965 and 1980, inclusive

  • Millennial or younger: Born in 1981 or later

Rules and Edge Cases:

  • The "next President" refers to the person who succeeds Donald Trump, whether at the conclusion of his term on January 20, 2029, or sooner if the presidency is vacated early.

  • The market will resolve once the next President is officially sworn into office.

  • The President's birth date will be verified using official government sources such as the White House website (whitehouse.gov) or established biographical databases such as Britannica.

Background

Donald Trump (born June 14, 1946) belongs to the Baby Boomer generation. If a transition of power occurs prior to the end of his term, Vice President JD Vance (born August 2, 1984) would fall under the "Millennial or younger" category. The defined generation brackets are exhaustive and mutual exclusivity is guaranteed based on the next president's official birth year.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

Market context
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