How much M$ will each Charity receive by 5/31? (Resolve-to-PROB)
I will resolve this market to PROB based on the amount of M$ each charity received in donations through Manifold Markets as of 6/1, as a percentage of the total M$ donated.
On 6/1 I will look at the charity tab and resolve the question. If there are two similar answers, I will select the one that spells the name of the organization how it is spelled on the Charity page. If neither is spelled the same as the charity page, I will resolve it to the one that was added to the market first. If a charity that received donations is not listed in this market, I will not include its donations in the denominator for PROB(hopefully these rules at the end here aren't needed)
Adam answered
Long-Term Future Fund
15%
Jack answered
QURI
11%
Jack answered
1Day Sooner
11%
Adam answered
Against Malaria Foundation
8%
Adam answered
Give Directly
5%
Adam answered
Malaria Consortium
4%
Adam answered
GiveWell Maximum Impact Fund
2%
Adam answered
World Wildlife Fund
2%
Adam answered
Hellen Keller International
1.7%
Adam answered
Free Software Foundation
1.0%
Adam answered
The Humane League
1.0%
Adam answered19 days ago
Long-Term Future Fund
15%
Jack answered18 days ago
QURI
11%
Jack answered18 days ago
1Day Sooner
11%
Adam answered19 days ago
Against Malaria Foundation
8%
Adam answered19 days ago
Give Directly
5%
Adam answered19 days ago
Malaria Consortium
4%
Adam answered17 days ago
GiveWell Maximum Impact Fund
2%
Adam answered17 days ago
World Wildlife Fund
2%
Adam answered19 days ago
Hellen Keller International
1.7%
Adam answered19 days ago
Free Software Foundation
1.0%
Adam answered19 days ago
The Humane League
1.0%
Adam bought M$119 days ago
I heard a talk from a director of this charity and they seemed interesting
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