How much M$ will each Charity receive by 5/31? (Resolve-to-PROB)
2
2
resolved Jun 1
86%2%
GiveWell Maximum Impact Fund
7%15%
Long-Term Future Fund
2%5%
Give Directly
2%11%
QURI
1%11%
1Day Sooner
1%8%
Against Malaria Foundation
0%1.7%
Hellen Keller International
0%4%
Malaria Consortium
0%2%
World Wildlife Fund
0%1.0%
Free Software Foundation
1.0%
The Humane League
I will resolve this market to PROB based on the amount of M$ each charity received in donations through Manifold Markets as of 6/1, as a percentage of the total M$ donated. On 6/1 I will look at the charity tab and resolve the question. If there are two similar answers, I will select the one that spells the name of the organization how it is spelled on the Charity page. If neither is spelled the same as the charity page, I will resolve it to the one that was added to the market first. If a charity that received donations is not listed in this market, I will not include its donations in the denominator for PROB(hopefully these rules at the end here aren't needed)
Get Ṁ200 play money

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GiveWell Maximum Impact Fund
looking pretty good right now
bought Ṁ1 of The Humane League
I heard a talk from a director of this charity and they seemed interesting