How much M$ will each Charity receive by 5/31? (Resolve-to-PROB)
May 16
M$161 bet
I will resolve this market to PROB based on the amount of M$ each charity received in donations through Manifold Markets as of 6/1, as a percentage of the total M$ donated. On 6/1 I will look at the charity tab and resolve the question. If there are two similar answers, I will select the one that spells the name of the organization how it is spelled on the Charity page. If neither is spelled the same as the charity page, I will resolve it to the one that was added to the market first. If a charity that received donations is not listed in this market, I will not include its donations in the denominator for PROB(hopefully these rules at the end here aren't needed)
Adam
Adam answered
Long-Term Future Fund
15%
JackC
Jack answered
QURI
11%
JackC
Jack answered
1Day Sooner
11%
Adam
Adam answered
Against Malaria Foundation
8%
Adam
Adam answered
Give Directly
5%
Adam
Adam answered
Malaria Consortium
4%
Adam
Adam answered
GiveWell Maximum Impact Fund
2%
Adam
Adam answered
World Wildlife Fund
2%
Adam
Adam answered
Hellen Keller International
1.7%
Adam
Adam answered
Free Software Foundation
1.0%
Adam
Adam answered
The Humane League
1.0%
Adam
Long-Term Future Fund
15%
JackC
QURI
11%
JackC
1Day Sooner
11%
Adam
Against Malaria Foundation
8%
Adam
Give Directly
5%
Adam
Malaria Consortium
4%
Adam
GiveWell Maximum Impact Fund
2%
Adam
World Wildlife Fund
2%
Adam
Hellen Keller International
1.7%
Adam
Free Software Foundation
1.0%
Adam
The Humane League
1.0%
Adam

Adam bought M$119 days ago

I heard a talk from a director of this charity and they seemed interesting
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