Will it snow in Atlanta before 2024
Will it snow in Atlanta before 2024
32
610Ṁ11kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will there be measurable snowfall in Atlanta, GA before Jan 1 2024?
To confirm I will use NOWData on https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=ffc and select the Atlanta Hartsfield-Jackson airport(listed as Atlanta Hartsfie, GA) for the location. Here's the results from 2000-2023
The blanks mean there was no measurable snow that year. You can see other previous first snow dates by selecting "First/Last dates" as the product, "Snowfall" for the criteria, and adjusting the year range.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.