If Tesla reveals a low-cost car (<$30,000) before Jan 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
Reveal means a physical mock-up that is shown, similar to the cybertruck event in 2019. A drawing isn't sufficient.
This will resolve as YES any variant of the car (e.g. one without four-wheel drive) costs less than $30,000.
If a car is revealed that is <$30,000 and is eligible to be owned by members of the general public the market will resolve to YES. Such a car announced to be planned or created someday will not resolve the market to YES. If only the car’s make but no price is announced before Jan 1, 2025, then the market will not resolve the market to YES.
@MarkTerrano If a car is revealed that is <$30,000 and is eligible to be owned by members of the general public the market will resolve to YES.