Who will accept a presidential pardon before Joe Biden leaves office? [Add Answers]
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Plus
49
Ṁ16k
Jan 20
8%
Anthony Fauci
9%
Liz Cheney
6%
Adam Schiff
1.9%
Kamala Harris
5%
Hillary Clinton
6%
James Comey
7%
Andrew McCabe
7%
John Brennan
7%
James Clapper
10%
Mark Milley
8%
Jack Smith
7%
Alvin Bragg
20%
Jim Biden
1%
Edward Snowden
5%
Julian Assange
7%
Merrick Garland
6%
Michael Cohen
1.4%
Donald Trump
1%
Sam Bankman-Fried
6%
Joe Exotic

Resolution Criteria

  • Each answer will resolve YES if that individual accepts a presidential pardon from Joe Biden before he leaves office

  • Each answer will resolve NO if:

    • The individual explicitly declines a pardon that has been issued

    • Biden's term ends without that person receiving a pardon

  • If a pardon is offered but the individual's acceptance/rejection is unclear (after intense research and examination by myself) the market for that person will resolve N/A

  • Posthumous pardons will resolve YES

  • Given the unique nature of preemptive pardons (that is pardons where the person has not yet been accused of a crime) in that recipients of such pardons cannot publicly accept the pardon by entering it into evidence, it will be assumed that the recipient of a preemptive pardon will accept it, absent evidence to the contrary.

  • Both full and partial pardons qualify for YES resolution however, preemptive commutations will not count.

On Adding Answers:

  • I reserve the right to N/A any answer that is not in keeping with the spirit of this market

  • If an answer is added after that answer has already satisfied the criteria to resolve, that answer will resolve N/A

Should there be a dispute, the rules provided will control over the answer to the question itself. While, the question is intended to provide an easy way for people to bet on their beliefs, it is not the end all be all, and all traders should look at the rules. Please don't hesitate to ask clarifying questions in the comments. In the unlikely event of significant ambiguity regarding whether the resolution criteria have been met. I reserve the right to resolve a question to a percentage that I deem fair. I will give notice before I do this.

  • Update 2025-12-01 (PST): - This market refers to pardons and not communications. (AI summary of creator comment)

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@traders please note this market refers to pardons and not communications.

Please reply to this, if you have any questions or would like to dispute this rule.

@traders Please note the additional clarifications to the rules:

Given the unique nature of preemptive pardons (that is pardons where the person has not yet been accused of a crime) in that recipients of such pardons cannot publicly accept the pardon by entering it into evidence, it will be assumed that the recipient of a preemptive pardon will accept it, absent evidence to the contrary.

Please reply to this comment if you have any questions or would like to dispute this new rule.

bought Ṁ50 YES

Jim Biden and James Biden should be merged, or the latter one removed.

@FrederickNorris huh, I'd tried to find the president's brother before I made my answer and couldn't. Didn't realize we were so informal with ole' Jimmy Bides. xD

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