What party will win control of the Senate and the nation wide popular vote for Senate candidates?
10
1kṀ5522
resolved Nov 27
100%50%
R control and D popular vote
1.0%
D control and D popular vote
1.0%
D control and R popular vote
48%
R control and R popular vote

This market will be decided by whichever party wins control of the Senate (including the tie-breaking vote of the vice president) and which party wins the overall nationwide popular vote for Senate candidates. For the control of the Senate question, this market will be resolved based on the party affiliation of the President pro tempore of the Senate. For the popular vote, official statistics regarding the nationwide, popular vote that are published by the House of Representatives will be used. This market may be resolved earlier if there is a clear agreement on both the question of control and the popular vote by all of the following media outlets.

  • New York Times

  • Washington Post

  • CNN

  • The AP

  • Fox News

Should a Senator be elected by a runoff election, only the votes from the runoff will be counted.

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