Will turnout increase in the second round of the Turkey 2023 presidential election?
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resolved May 29
Resolved
NO

Will turnout increase in the second round, when compared to the first round?
According to wikipedia the first round turnout (including blank votes) was: 55,833,153. A tie will resolve as no.

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@AaronKreider this should resolve NO, because the turnout in the first round was 88.84% (53993714 votes cast), and the turnout in the second round is 85.65% (52050216 votes cast)

predicted YES

@DanMan314 Yeah but international turnout is up.

predicted YES

@AaronKreider Seems anecdotal. I think there is a decent chance turnout increases. That said, I expect it to be very close to the last round (plus or minus 3%). Unfortunately Turkey doesn't have a record of runoffs, so we're mostly guessing.

predicted YES

I could see the closeness of the race increasing turnout. Or the fact that there are two fewer candidates could lower turnout. I'm undecided.

One possible precedent
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/March_2019_Istanbul_mayoral_election

Does Turkey have runoffs in any other elections (municipal, state)?