Will Vladimir Putin declare Martial Law in at least 3/4 of Russia before 2025?
Plus
26
Ṁ2898Dec 31
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
See the question and its resolution criteria on Metaculus: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/17682/putins-martial-law-declaration/
This question will resolve as Yes if Vladimir Putin officially declares a state of martial law covering 3/4 of all federal subjects of Russia before January 1, 2025. The declaration should be recognized and implemented by the Russian government through official channels and public announcements.
For the purposes of resolution, federal subjects whose territories are internationally recognized as part of Ukraine will not be considered in the 3/4 calculation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?
60% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2025?
84% chance
Will Russia implement a major nationwide forced military mobilization for the Ukraine war before EOY 2024?
14% chance
Will Trump declare Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?
44% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?
60% chance
Will Vladimir Putin relocate OUT of Russia before the end of 2030?
21% chance
Will Putin die before 2025?
5% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2030?
29% chance
Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2025?
88% chance
Will there be another mutiny in Russia before 2025?
5% chance