Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2050?
Plus
11
Ṁ6562050
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves based on the outcome of the corresponding Metaculus market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
42% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?
58% chance
Will China control Taiwan in 2040?
35% chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2035?
34% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
48% chance
Will Taiwan remain independent of China through 2049?
44% chance
[Metaculus] Will the People's Republic of China control at least half of Taiwan before 2030?
14% chance
What will happen to Taiwan before 2050?
Will China invade Taiwan before 2030?
38% chance
Will China still be controlled by the CCP in 2050?
39% chance