This market resolves YES if, before the end of 2023, it becomes illegal in Russia to use a VPN for personal purposes. If it is allowed only with special permission or in a way that potentially makes your traffic more vulnerable, this market also resolves YES.
If you find any ambiguities in the market resolution criteria, please notify me in the comments.
UPD 2022-12-23. Clarification: if it is illegal to use VPN services except for a limited whitelist (including a scenario where only Russian VPN services are allowed), then this market also resolves YES.
Other markets about internet censorship in Russia in 2023:
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@mxxun first page google results. But actually many articles have the policy attributed to one senator, so maybe it's not official
@MichaelWheatley Are y'all allergic to giving specific sources or what.
Sorry.
An October article here talks about the senator saying something weird (according to legislating committees); about possibly streamlining/expanding procedures for the internet-censoring body (roskomnadzor) to block e.g. sites providing VPN instructions to circumvent the censorship; and about so-far-consistent messaging that vpn use is legal on the user side and is intended to remain so.