With everyone scratching their heads at the Mavs trading Luka Doncic to the Lakers, a common sentiment in the /r/NBA subreddit is that there has to be "more to it" or that the NBA should open an investigation into the trade, that's how little sense it seems to make.

This market resolves YES if by the end of the year, in my subjective judgment, credible reporting or evidence has emerged that explains at least to a substantial degree why the Mavs would make this trade.

Specifically:

• Must be more than pure hearsay. Ultimately up to my judgment if the evidence is credible.

• The backstory must make the trade actually more rational / understandable. For example, something like "Nico Harrison took an IQ test and it turns out he is really stupid" helps explain the trade, but does not make it more sensible.

• The backstory does not necessarily have to do with Luka. Something like "the Lakers have dirt on Harrison that they used to blackmail him" would count as well.

• A good criterion for what I'm asking about here would be that the top comments in /r/NBA on those hypothetical new developments should be something like "ah, now that trade makes more sense". If the general sentiment is that the trade was still completely asinine, this resolves NO.

For reference, I only follow the NBA casually (being European) and personally, at the creation of this market, don't tend to believe that there is "more to it".

I'll resolve YES or NO (not a percentage) if at all possible.

The market stays open even if the trade somehow never actually happens.

I won't bet on this market.