19. Will unemployment be below 5% in December 2022?
18
31
Ṁ2.7KṀ200
resolved Feb 1
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Scott Alexander's Econ/Tech predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ34 | |
2 | Ṁ20 | |
3 | Ṁ17 | |
4 | Ṁ14 | |
5 | Ṁ8 |
Related questions
[ACX 2024] Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024?
50% chance
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2025?
35% chance
Will unemployment hit 4% by the end of 2024
74% chance
Will the US unemployment rate exceed 10% again before 2030?
29% chance
Will unemployment be at least 7% in November 2024?
20% chance
Will US unemployment be 15% or more before 2030?
19% chance
Will the Unemployment Rate (UNRATE) data series on FRED be greater than 4.5% on January 1, 2027?
60% chance
Will unemployment rate in the United States reach 10% in 2024?
12% chance
Will US unemployment be 25% or more before 2030?
20% chance
Between Oct 15 2023 and EOY 2028, will the US unemployment rate be continuously above 8% for at least a year?
33% chance