5. Will the Beijing Olympics happen successfully on schedule?
27
100Ṁ1248
resolved Mar 21
Resolved
YES
From Scott Alexander's US/World predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten. Mar 21, 4:10pm: The Manifold team has decided to resolve this early. (If on the off chance, Scott decides the outcome of this question differently, we will reimburse traders.)
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This will also be an interesting study of the time-preference of manifold users.
This market will resolve in about a year. I’m guessing many w YES would like to get returns now rather than wait that long, so eq price should be lower than it is.
The Olympics start tomorrow. There's no sign of any delay. https://olympics.nbcsports.com/2022/02/03/everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-2022-winter-olympics/

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