21. Will Starship reach orbit in 2022? | Manifold

21. Will Starship reach orbit in 2022?

Basic

57

Ṁ6142

resolved Feb 1

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

From Scott Alexander's Econ/Tech predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.

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#ACX 2022 Predictions

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Arb - should be the same

predicted NO

@lu Might be different resolution details!

@lu I've added it to @ArbitrageBot's arb list. If you see other arbitrage opportunities, you can add them to https://manifold.markets/group/arbbot-inbox and I'll take a look at them.

Going off the advice of my space nerd husband here, and the fact that all their tanks are currently in no fit state to fly.

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