21. Will Starship reach orbit in 2022?

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Ṁ6.1kresolved Feb 1

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From Scott Alexander's Econ/Tech predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.

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@lu I've added it to @ArbitrageBot's arb list. If you see other arbitrage opportunities, you can add them to https://manifold.markets/group/arbbot-inbox and I'll take a look at them.

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