28. Will some new COVID variant not currently known be greater than 25% of cases in 2022?
22
202Ṁ2254resolved Feb 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Scott Alexander's COVID predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ207 | |
| 2 | Ṁ59 | |
| 3 | Ṁ58 | |
| 4 | Ṁ51 | |
| 5 | Ṁ47 |