3. Will PredictIt think Joe Biden is the most likely 2024 Dem nominee by the end of 2022? | Manifold

3. Will PredictIt think Joe Biden is the most likely 2024 Dem nominee by the end of 2022?

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resolved Feb 1

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YES

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From Scott Alexander's US/World predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.

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#ACX 2022 Predictions

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predicted YES

So what's gonna happen with this one now that PredictIt is getting shut down by the government?

Relevant PredictIt market: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination

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