89. Will Manifold Markets still be alive and active by the end of 2022?

Basic

100

Ṁ7915resolved Feb 1

Resolved

YES1D

1W

1M

ALL

From Scott Alexander's Prediction Market predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.

Get

1,000

and1.00

Sort by:

@hagi if it does so and getting sued makes it actually shut down this play money section, i.e. it becomes unalive, then the payout probably won't matter no?

## Related questions

## Related questions

Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)

59% chance

Will Manifold Markets still be popular at the end of 2026?

77% chance

Will Manifold Markets still be active in 2030?

74% chance

Will I be active on Manifold Markets on Dec 31, 2024?

66% chance

Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?

75% chance

Will there be a Manifold Markets competitor before 2025?

78% chance

Will Manifold have a numerical market type by June 1, 2025?

63% chance

Will Manifold still exist and have active trading at the end of 2024?

97% chance

Will any Manifold market reach 10,000 traders by the end of 2024?

64% chance

Will Manifold Markets declare bankruptcy before 2025?

15% chance