18. Will inflation be below 5% for the year of 2022?

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Ṁ220Ṁ3.2k

resolved Feb 1

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

From Scott Alexander's Econ/Tech predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.

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There's quite a lot of "resolution risk" here. My estimate is that there was around 10% inflation in 2021, though the official metrics will report some of that inflation as happening in 2022. As a result, I expect the official metrics to show 7-8% inflation in 2022.

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