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Will Ethereum (ETH) reach $10,000 before the end of 2030?

53% chance

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by Jun 2029?

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predictedNO

resolves no

free

Doing a rough model of the volatility over the past year, seems like this is a 2 sigma event.

🤔

Only 5x gain needed

predictedNO

Only 4x gain needed

Only 3x gain needed. Aka no.

Based on this (https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/ethereum/), ETH has hit an all time high 2/5 years of its existence so Laplace's Rule of Succession gives me a naive 43% probability.

There should not be a 50% chance of Ethereum hitting a new ATH this year.

According to https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/ethereum, Ethereum's all-time high in Oct was close to (but not quite) $5k

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Will Ethereum (ETH) reach $10,000 before the end of 2030?

53% chance

Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by Jun 2029?

35% chance

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